Snow?

Whell the GFS and WRF Models show us getting some snow but the question is when?

The WRF has it coming in early Friday Morning and the GFS has it coming in Thursday afternoon.

Another model (the UKMET looks to have it in here by Thursday afternoon also).

Wet Change

We went from being below freezing for a couple days to highs in the 70s in about a week. Gotta love that Mississippi weather. Problem is that when get this warm this time of year it can lead to problems. Wednesday may be stormy with a couple inches of rain. And another storm system looks to come in on Saturday.

Cold

I will have mote tomorrow, but it is cold out there. The current high temperature is 25 at my place, and it is only 7:00pm. I saw some snow today, nothing more than flurries though.

December 1

43 degrees, steady rain, gusty winds, gotta love Mississippi winters.

Well Tropical Storm Ida did not bring rain to central MS, it stayed to our southeast. Hattiesburg got 1.31 inches of rain.

We have been having very nice weather and it is expected to continue. Though we may have a short cloudy rainy Monday afternoon and night. A weak system looks to bring a brief area of rain but not much to talk about.

Now in the Extended forecast there could be a bigger storm system next week. Being a week away this could change very much. But I will keep an eye on it and see if we get any "interesting"(bad) weather.

Hurricane?

Wet October is over and so far November has been great. However today the sky has been filling in clouds and rain is on the way. We ended the month with 9.71 inches of rain at my house(October averages around 3.5 inches).

Now onto the big story. Hurricane Ida is in the Gulf and headed north. Now the forecast track takes it up to some where near the MS/AL border then it takes a sharp right turn away from us. This makes for a tough forecast for us in Central MS. There looks to be a trough in the upper levels approaching from the west. This could combine with Ida and make for a very wet forecast. Problem is where. I do believe we will see heavy rains in central MS with the worst to our east. However slight changes in the location of either Ida or the trough could make a large difference in who sees the most rain.

More

The last system i blogged about turned out to be a bit of a dud (for where I live), only got 0.4 inches. There is another system threatening Thursday through Saturday. The surface low will be far to our north, but this time there will be better upper-level support. The NAM and GFS models are showing a large 500mb trough extend through the great planes. This will aid in uplift for these storms.

Areas of Arkansas and Louisiana could see over 6 inches of rain (the last thing they need right now). Here in Mississippi it looks closer to 1 to 2 inches. However, one good downpour could bring the actual total above that, or (as was the case last week) it could weaken as it comes our way.